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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Otay Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013206 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,266 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 06073013206 belongs to the Otay area of Chula Vista, California. It is home to 6,266 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,622 a month while the average household earns $52,622 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 19% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$52,622

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Otay
High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#140 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,076 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.5992, -117.0723 · click any tract to drill in

Why Otay scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,622 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Otay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Otay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 013206Chula Vista: 8.38.3Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Otay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Otay

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013206?

Census tract 06073013206 in the Otay neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013206?

Median gross rent is $1,622/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013206?

22.9% of residents in tract 06073013206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,266.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 95th, minority 90th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013206 considered part of Otay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013206 fall within Otay (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013206 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013206 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013206 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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