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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Boal Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chula Vista

Tract 06073012501 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,997 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

In the Boal area of Chula Vista, census tract 06073012501 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,631 a month against an average household income of $43,125 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 27% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$43,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Boal
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,277 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6336, -117.0937 · click any tract to drill in

Why Boal scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,631 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Boal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Boal risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 012501Chula Vista: 8.38.3Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Boal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Boal

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012501?

Census tract 06073012501 in the Boal neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073012501?

Median gross rent is $1,631/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012501?

28.3% of residents in tract 06073012501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,997.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 93th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 06073012501 considered part of Boal?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012501 fall within Boal (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073012501 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073012501 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073012501 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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