Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally
Boal Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista
Tract 06073012501 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,997 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
06073012501 is a census tract in the Boal area of Chula Vista, CA. It scores 9.2/10 for landlords. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$43,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6336, -117.0937 · click any tract to drill in
Why Boal scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,631 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Boal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Boal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.6%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.1%Food insecurity
- 38.8%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 23.5%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 42.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Boal
Set annual rent against average income of $43,125 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Food insecurity runs 39.1% against 17.8% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 29.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,631, 27% below the Chula Vista average. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. Cost burden runs 61% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Nationally it ranks #3,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073012501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012501?
Census tract 06073012501 in the Boal neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073012501?
Median gross rent is $1,631/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012501?
28.3% of residents in tract 06073012501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,997.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 93th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 06073012501 considered part of Boal?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012501 fall within Boal (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073012501 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073012501 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073012501 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Fruitdale
9
/ 10 · Very High
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