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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chula Vista

Tract 06073013203 · San Diego, CA · pop 6,002 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06073013203, home to 6,002 residents in the Castle Park area of Chula Vista, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,642 a month while the average household earns $52,014 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 84% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 34% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,146
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$52,014

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Castle Park
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#6 of 54 tracts In Chula Vista
Very High
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#282 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#4,499 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6068, -117.0642 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Park scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,642 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3

How Castle Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 013203Chula Vista: 8.38.3Chula Vistaparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Castle Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Park

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073013203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073013203?

Census tract 06073013203 in the Castle Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073013203?

Median gross rent is $1,642/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073013203?

12.4% of residents in tract 06073013203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,002.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073013203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 06073013203 considered part of Castle Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073013203 fall within Castle Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073013203 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073013203 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073013203 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chula Vista at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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