Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally
Sunny Vista Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista
Tract 06073012302 · San Diego, CA · pop 1,606 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
06073012302 is a census tract in the Sunny Vista area of Chula Vista, CA. It scores 9.2/10 for landlords. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units786
Renter share90.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$44,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region
Centroid at 32.6408, -117.0804 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sunny Vista scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,720 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chula Vista
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chula Vista
6.3
How Sunny Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sunny Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 21.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sunny Vista
Set annual rent against average income of $44,750 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.6 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. At $1,720 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 57% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073012302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012302?
Census tract 06073012302 in the Sunny Vista neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073012302?
Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012302?
18.8% of residents in tract 06073012302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,606.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 86th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 06073012302 considered part of Sunny Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012302 fall within Sunny Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073012302 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073012302 compare to Chula Vista overall?
Tract 06073012302 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista
Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Castle Park
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Boal
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Otay
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Harbor Side
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Fruitdale
9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Sunny Vista
9
/ 10 · Very High
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