Neighborhood · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

Sunny Vista Eviction Risk: High , Chula Vista

Tract 06073012402 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,730 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06073012402 covers part of the Sunny Vista area of Chula Vista, CA, and scores 9.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,730 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 29% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units1,871

Renter share73.5%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate16.8%

Median income$64,018

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chula Vista and the region

Centroid at 32.6431, -117.0879 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sunny Vista scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.8% poverty · this tract

4.2

Supply constraint

$1,707 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chula Vista

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chula Vista

6.3

How Sunny Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Sunny Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.5%Housing insecurity
11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
27.9%Food insecurity
25.6%SNAP enrollment
13.7%Transit barriers
17.6%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
34.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sunny Vista

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Average gross rent is $1,707, 23% below the Chula Vista average. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10.

SNAP participation runs 25.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073012402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073012402?

Census tract 06073012402 in the Sunny Vista neighborhood scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073012402?

Median gross rent is $1,707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073012402?

16.8% of residents in tract 06073012402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,730.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073012402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 93th, minority 90th, housing 84th.

Is tract 06073012402 considered part of Sunny Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073012402 fall within Sunny Vista (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073012402 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073012402 compare to Chula Vista overall?

Tract 06073012402 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chula Vista at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chula Vista eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chula Vista

Top eight tracts in Chula Vista ranked by composite eviction-risk score.