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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Chinatown Eviction Risk: High

7 census tracts · pop 17,750 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Chinatown is a 7-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA and houses 17,750 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the San Francisco rate of 25.1%.

Average gross rent is $1,236, 50% below the San Francisco average of $2,476. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 25.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 28.7% of adults, 10.9 points above the national rate. That places it #1 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.

For a like-for-like read, Civic Center and Fillmore District score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 7 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $53,435.

With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Chinatown vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.2% +84%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$1,236 -50%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$53,435 -62%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
23.0% +117%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
90.5% +46%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chinatown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Chinatown scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
91% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
23.0% below poverty line · Range 1.7–9.0 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Chinatown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chinatown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9ChinatownNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Chinatown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Chinatown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075010701 9.9 3,424 43% $788
06075011200 9.9 2,865 34% $2,349
06075011300 9.9 2,862 50% $969
06075011902 9.9 2,650 44% $1,900
06075061102 9.9 2,393 48% $749
06075061101 9.9 1,861 60% $610
06075011800 9.9 1,695 54% $1,047
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chinatown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chinatown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chinatown?

Chinatown scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chinatown compare to San Francisco overall?

Chinatown scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,236 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chinatown?

Average gross rent in Chinatown is $1,236/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chinatown residents are renters?

91% of Chinatown households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 17,750 residents.
Q5

Is Chinatown a high social-vulnerability area?

Chinatown sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Chinatown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Chinatown is census tract 06075010701 (score 9.9/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Chinatown for landlords?

Chinatown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Chinatown?

Chinatown has 16,674 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (69.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.3%), Other / Multiracial (4.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chinatown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chinatown.

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