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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Fillmore District Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 9,457 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Fillmore District is a 3-tract neighborhood of San Francisco, CA and houses 9,457 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.9/10, in the High tier. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 33% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Average gross rent is $1,878, 24% below the San Francisco average of $2,476.

The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #1 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.

For a like-for-like read, Little Saigon and Civic Center score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $91,310.

With little internal variation, 9.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Fillmore District vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
32.6% +30%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$1,878 -24%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$91,310 -35%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
20.4% +93%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
86.5% +40%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fillmore District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Fillmore District scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
20.4% below poverty line · Range 3.7–7.0 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Fillmore District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fillmore District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9Fillmore DistrictNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Fillmore District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Fillmore District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075015500 9.9 3,708 34% $2,071
06075015801 9.9 3,394 31% $2,312
06075016101 9.9 2,355 33% $950
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 74%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fillmore District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fillmore District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fillmore District?

Fillmore District scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fillmore District compare to San Francisco overall?

Fillmore District scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $1,878 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fillmore District?

Average gross rent in Fillmore District is $1,878/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fillmore District residents are renters?

87% of Fillmore District households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 9,457 residents.
Q5

Is Fillmore District a high social-vulnerability area?

Fillmore District sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Fillmore District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Fillmore District is census tract 06075015500 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Fillmore District for landlords?

Fillmore District carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Fillmore District?

Fillmore District has 9,600 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fillmore District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fillmore District.

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