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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

South Beach Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 16,036 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.1/10 · range 8.7–9.9

South Beach takes in 3 census tracts of San Francisco, CA, population 16,036. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.1/10, placing it in the High tier. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the San Francisco rate of 25.1%.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10.

Average gross rent is $3,418, 38% above the San Francisco average of $2,476. Severe burden reaches 17%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 8.7 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #41 of 53 neighborhoods in San Francisco.

For a like-for-like read, Lower Pacific Heights and Jordan Park score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 9.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.1
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
South Beach vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.3% +57%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$3,418 +38%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$210,975 +49%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
6.7% -37%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
64.0% +4%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Beach and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.7–9.9

Why South Beach scores 9.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.6 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

South Beach vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Beach score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.1South BeachNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Beach?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 8.7 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in South Beach

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075061502 9.9 1,901 46% $3,430
06075060703 9.3 6,256 37% $3,311
06075060701 8.7 7,879 40% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 49

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Beach

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Beach

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Beach?

South Beach scores 9.1/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Beach compare to San Francisco overall?

South Beach scores 0.8 points lower than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $3,418 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Beach?

Average gross rent in South Beach is $3,418/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Beach residents are renters?

64% of South Beach households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 16,036 residents.
Q5

Is South Beach a high social-vulnerability area?

South Beach sits in the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Beach have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Beach is census tract 06075061502 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.7 to 9.9, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is South Beach for landlords?

South Beach carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Beach?

South Beach has 16,546 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (39.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (9.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Beach

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Beach.

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