Neighborhood · Ranked #1,816 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

Tract 06087110401 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,546 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 06087110401 covers the Colache Town neighborhood of Watsonville in California. Home to 3,546 residents, it scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 81% of US census tracts.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,679 a month against an average household income of $70,701 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 40% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units905

Renter share89.2%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate26.4%

Median income$70,701

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9004, -121.7665 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.4% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$1,679 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Watsonville

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Watsonville

7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.7%Housing insecurity
19.4%Utility-shutoff threat
47.6%Food insecurity
44.7%SNAP enrollment
23.0%Transit barriers
32.2%No health insurance
22.1%Frequent mental distress
45.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Watsonville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 35.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110401?

Census tract 06087110401 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087110401?

Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110401?

26.4% of residents in tract 06087110401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,546.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 77th, minority 97th, housing 95th.

Is tract 06087110401 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110401 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087110401 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087110401 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110401 scores 8.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Watsonville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.