Neighborhood · Ranked #947 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

Tract 06087110302 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,178 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 06087110302 covers Colache Town in Watsonville, home to 3,178 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #12,126 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,744 a month against an average household income of $55,281 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 26% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units725

Renter share68.7%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate29.9%

Median income$55,281

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9142, -121.7597 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

29.9% poverty · this tract

7.5

Supply constraint

$1,744 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Watsonville

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Watsonville

7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

36.7%Housing insecurity
21.6%Utility-shutoff threat
49.0%Food insecurity
48.7%SNAP enrollment
24.4%Transit barriers
31.3%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
45.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Watsonville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 36.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 100th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110302?

Census tract 06087110302 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087110302?

Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110302?

29.9% of residents in tract 06087110302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,178.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 98th, housing 99th.

Is tract 06087110302 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110302 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087110302 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087110302 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110302 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.