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Neighborhood · Visalia, CA

River Island Ranch Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 13,333 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 5.3–7.1

River Island Ranch spans 3 census tracts of Visalia, CA, population 13,333. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Visalia rate of 30.1%.

The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.3 to 7.1, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. 19.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. SNAP participation is 24.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #3 of 21 neighborhoods in Visalia. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,452, close to the Visalia average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $71,067. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
River Island Ranch vs Visalia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.4% +28%
Visalia: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,452 -3%
Visalia: $1,490
Average HH income
$71,067 -11%
Visalia: $79,952
Poverty rate
14.5% +28%
Visalia: 11.3%
Renter share
40.9% +5%
Visalia: 38.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Island Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3–7.1

Why River Island Ranch scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
14.5% below poverty line · Range 1.7–4.7 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–5.8 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

River Island Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Island Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.River Island Ranch: 6.36.3River Island RanchNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in River Island Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 5.3 to 7.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in River Island Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06107001009 7.1 4,295 39% $1,546
06107001010 6.6 4,159 43% $1,245
06107001303 5.3 4,879 34% $1,547
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in River Island Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About River Island Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Island Ranch?

River Island Ranch scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Island Ranch compare to Visalia overall?

River Island Ranch scores 0.3 points lower than Visalia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,452 vs $1,490.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Island Ranch?

Average gross rent in River Island Ranch is $1,452/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Island Ranch residents are renters?

41% of River Island Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Visalia). The neighborhood has 13,333 residents.
Q5

Is River Island Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

River Island Ranch sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in River Island Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in River Island Ranch is census tract 06107001009 (score 7.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 7.1, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is River Island Ranch for landlords?

River Island Ranch carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Visalia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of River Island Ranch?

River Island Ranch has 13,719 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (67.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Island Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Visalia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River Island Ranch.

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