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Neighborhood · Lindsay, CA

Heritage Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 11,901 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.2–8.7

Heritage Park is a 3-tract neighborhood of Lindsay, CA and houses 11,901 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Lindsay baseline of 29.5%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. 29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.4/10.

SNAP participation is 32.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 7.2 to 8.7. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. 14.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,038, close to the Lindsay average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $60,719.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Heritage Park vs Lindsay How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
43.7% +48%
Lindsay: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,038 +3%
Lindsay: $1,009
Average HH income
$60,719 +20%
Lindsay: $50,563
Poverty rate
23.5% -21%
Lindsay: 29.9%
Renter share
49.2% -3%
Lindsay: 50.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Heritage Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.2–8.7

Why Heritage Park scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Economic stress
23.5% below poverty line · Range 3.9–9.9 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.4–3.9 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Heritage Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Heritage Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7Heritage ParkNeighborhood7.3Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Heritage Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 7.2 to 8.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Heritage Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06107002800 8.7 3,209 49% $944
06107002601 7.4 4,956 41% $917
06107002500 7.2 3,736 43% $1,278
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Heritage Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Heritage Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Heritage Park?

Heritage Park scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Heritage Park compare to Lindsay overall?

Heritage Park scores 0.4 points higher than Lindsay overall (7.3/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,038 vs $1,009.
Q3

What is the average rent in Heritage Park?

Average gross rent in Heritage Park is $1,038/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Heritage Park residents are renters?

49% of Heritage Park households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Lindsay). The neighborhood has 11,901 residents.
Q5

Is Heritage Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Heritage Park sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Heritage Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Heritage Park is census tract 06107002800 (score 8.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.2 to 8.7, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Heritage Park for landlords?

Heritage Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lindsay as a whole (7.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Heritage Park?

Heritage Park has 11,873 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (82.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Heritage Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lindsay

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Heritage Park.

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