Fox Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Frederick

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 76.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Weld County average of 4.2. At $2,690 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Frederick commands. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.