Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Fox Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Frederick
Tract 08123002012 · Weld County, CO · pop 1,249 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 08123002012 covers part of the Fox Run area of Frederick, CO, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,249 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
Occupied units412
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$138,581
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Frederick and the region
Centroid at 40.1094, -104.9707 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fox Run scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Frederick
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frederick
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frederick
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
How Fox Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fox Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fox Run
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Weld County average of 4.2.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 08123002012
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08123002012?
Census tract 08123002012 in the Fox Run neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 08123002012?
3.7% of residents in tract 08123002012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,249.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 08123002012?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 8th, minority 33th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 08123002012 considered part of Fox Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08123002012 fall within Fox Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How does tract 08123002012 compare to Frederick overall?
Tract 08123002012 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Frederick at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Frederick
Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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