Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,218 of 84,120 nationally
Duval Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lealman
Tract 12103024703 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,592 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.3/10 for census tract 12103024703 reflects conditions in the Duval Park area of Lealman, Florida. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,261 monthly, set against $46,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,211
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$46,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lealman and the region
Centroid at 27.8151, -82.6851 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duval Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lealman
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lealman
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lealman
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lealman
7.0
How Duval Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 38%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 993Total filings over 18 yrs
- 9.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.0%Peak (2001)
- 53Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 206Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Duval Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duval Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lealman, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 38% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103024703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024703?
Census tract 12103024703 in the Duval Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103024703?
Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024703?
11.4% of residents in tract 12103024703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,592.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 89th, minority 52th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 12103024703 considered part of Duval Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024703 fall within Duval Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 993 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103024703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.58% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103024703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103024703 compare to Lealman overall?
Tract 12103024703 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lealman at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lealman; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103024703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 38% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lealman
Top eight tracts in Lealman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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