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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012804 · Polk, FL · pop 5,646 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Census tract 12105012804 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,646. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,833
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$61,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Very Low
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,381 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.1040, -81.6716 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,633 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0128044.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 175Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2013)
  • 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105012804
Filings climbed 1,500% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

At $1,633 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Winter Haven commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Polk County at 45.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The voucher gap is 22.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 175 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 8.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012804?

Census tract 12105012804 in Winter Haven scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012804?

Median gross rent is $1,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012804?

6.2% of residents in tract 12105012804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,646.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 74th, minority 63th, housing 49th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.41% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012804 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105012804 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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