Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115000404 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,271 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12115000404 in Sarasota ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,271 residents. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,070 monthly, set against $54,868 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units798
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$54,868

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,057 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#46,312 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3462, -82.4919 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,070 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 000404Sarasota: 2.32.3Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150004042002: 1 filings (0.91/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (1.68/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000404?

Census tract 12115000404 in Sarasota scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000404?

Median gross rent is $1,070/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000404?

6.7% of residents in tract 12115000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,271.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 60th, minority 15th, housing 43th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115000404 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000404 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related