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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115001000 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,548 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 12115001000 in Sarasota in Sarasota County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,548 residents. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,394 a month against an average household income of $45,724 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 17% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,431
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate33.6%
Median income$45,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#231 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3805, -82.5496 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.6% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,394 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 001000Sarasota: 2.32.3Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 278Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2015)
  • 40Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150010002002: 69 filings (12.28/100 renter HHs)2003: 47 filings (8.36/100 renter HHs)2015: 74 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 48 filings (5.57/100 renter HHs)2018: 40 filings (4.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 278 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.0% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001000?

Census tract 12115001000 in Sarasota scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001000?

Median gross rent is $1,394/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001000?

33.6% of residents in tract 12115001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,548.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 15th, minority 51th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.98% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001000 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115001000 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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