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Neighborhood · Aurora, IL

Autumn Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,005 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Autumn Grove maps to a single census tract in Aurora, IL and houses 3,005 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.2/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,156, 35% above the Aurora average of $1,596.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 36% against 28.2% citywide, putting Autumn Grove 8.2% over its own city. The voucher gap is 22.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.2/10.

4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That places it #9 of 9 neighborhoods in Aurora.

Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Wolfs and Haven on Long Grove.

Against average income of $161,181, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Autumn Grove vs Aurora How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% +29%
Aurora: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,156 +35%
Aurora: $1,596
Average HH income
$161,181 +79%
Aurora: $90,109
Poverty rate
4.9% -50%
Aurora: 9.8%
Renter share
2.1% -94%
Aurora: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Autumn Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Autumn Grove scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
2% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
4.9% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Autumn Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Autumn Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Autumn Grove: 3.23.2Autumn GroveNeighborhoodState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Autumn Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17043846518 3.2 3,005 36% $2,156
Frequently asked

About Autumn Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Autumn Grove?

Autumn Grove scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Autumn Grove compare to Aurora overall?

Autumn Grove scores 0.8 points lower than Aurora overall (4/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,156 vs $1,596.
Q3

What is the average rent in Autumn Grove?

Average gross rent in Autumn Grove is $2,156/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Autumn Grove residents are renters?

2% of Autumn Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Aurora). The neighborhood has 3,005 residents.
Q5

How safe is Autumn Grove for landlords?

Autumn Grove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aurora as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Autumn Grove?

Autumn Grove has 2,895 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14%), Hispanic / Latino (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Autumn Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aurora

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Autumn Grove.

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