South Common Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lowell

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.7 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Court records carry 242 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Food insecurity runs 25.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.