Eviction Risk in Elm Park , Worcester
Tract 25027731602 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,108 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 25027731602 sits in the Elm Park neighborhood of Worcester, Massachusetts. It has a population of 3,108 and an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). 68% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 61% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,821/month against a median household income of $28,235 — roughly 77% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,989 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 5.7%
- White (non-Hispanic) 72.7%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 4.5%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 12.2%
- Other / Multiracial 5%
How the 7.4/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 6.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 6.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.9 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 7.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 10.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.8 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elm Park. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.1%Food insecurity
- 46.4%SNAP enrollment
- 25.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 30.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.4%Any disability
About tract 25027731602
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731602?
Census tract 25027731602 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 25027731602?
Median gross rent is $1,821/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731602?
71.2% of residents in tract 25027731602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,108.
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 2th, minority 39th, housing 65th.
Is tract 25027731602 considered part of Elm Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731602 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 25027731602 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.