Eviction Risk in Elm Park , Worcester
Tract 25027731601 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,484 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 25027731601 sits in the Elm Park neighborhood of Worcester, Massachusetts. It has a population of 4,484 and an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 37% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,194/month against a median household income of $38,918 — roughly 37% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 4,253 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 18.7%
- White (non-Hispanic) 61.4%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 6.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 8%
- Other / Multiracial 5.1%
How the 7.2/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 6.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 6.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.9 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 7.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 7.0 | Worcester (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 9.1 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 1.4 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elm Park. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 28.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 21.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
About tract 25027731601
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731601?
Census tract 25027731601 in the Elm Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 25027731601?
Median gross rent is $1,194/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731601?
36.3% of residents in tract 25027731601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,484.
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 23th, minority 59th, housing 85th.
Is tract 25027731601 considered part of Elm Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731601 fall within Elm Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 25027731601 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.