Elm Park Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.1/10. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $38,918 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 28.2% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,194 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Worcester commands.

Against Worcester County at 44.4%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.