Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Worcester

Tract 25027732902 · Worcester County, MA · pop 2,633 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

25027732902 is a census tract in the Providence Street Historic District area of Worcester, MA. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7/10.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 45% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2381, -71.8057 · click any tract to drill in

Why Providence Street Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

this tract poverty rate

3.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Worcester

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Worcester

7.0

How Providence Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Providence Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
18.3%Food insecurity
16.7%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
28.6%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Model confidence here is 45%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

It tracks the Worcester County average of 5.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732902?

Census tract 25027732902 in the Providence Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 45th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 25027732902 considered part of Providence Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732902 fall within Providence Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25027732902 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25027732902 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732902 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.