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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027732700 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,884 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

25027732700 is a census tract in the Providence Street Historic District area of Worcester, MA. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,884 residents. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 38% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,672
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$61,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Providence Street Historic District
Low
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 46 tracts In Worcester
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2421, -71.7927 · click any tract to drill in

Why Providence Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,477 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Providence Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Providence Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 732700Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 91Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2015)
  • 91Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Providence Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District

The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. SNAP participation runs 28.0% against 15.2% nationally.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

Court records carry 91 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 6.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $1,477, close to the Worcester average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732700?

Census tract 25027732700 in the Providence Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732700?

Median gross rent is $1,477/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732700?

15.8% of residents in tract 25027732700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,884.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 59th, minority 73th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732700 considered part of Providence Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732700 fall within Providence Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 91 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732700 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732700 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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