Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester
Tract 25027732600 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,541 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 25027732600 sits in the Providence Street Historic District area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 4,541 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,152
Renter share79.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$48,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Worcester and the region
Centroid at 42.2467, -71.7987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Providence Street Historic District scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
How Providence Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 101Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2015)
- 101Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Providence Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.4%Food insecurity
- 35.8%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District
SNAP participation runs 35.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.
80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $48,438 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Worcester County average of 44.4%. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.
Court records carry 101 eviction filings across 1 observed years. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027732600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732600?
Census tract 25027732600 in the Providence Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027732600?
Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732600?
23.7% of residents in tract 25027732600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 75th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 25027732600 considered part of Providence Street Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732600 fall within Providence Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027732600 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027732600 compare to Worcester overall?
Tract 25027732600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Worcester
Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Webster Square
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Providence Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25027730401
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Main South
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Green Island
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Piedmont
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Crown Hill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Providence Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Related
Explore the geography around tract 25027732600
Parent city ↑
Worcester
6.6 / 10
Parent county ↑
Worcester County
Parent state ↑
Massachusetts
Sibling tract →
Providence Street Historic District
8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Providence Street Historic District
8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Providence Street Historic District
5.2 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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