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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester

Tract 25027732600 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,541 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District in Worcester centers on tract 25027732600, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,541 residents. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,330 a month against an average household income of $48,438 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 39% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,152
Renter share79.6%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$48,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Providence Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#14 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#141 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2467, -71.7987 · click any tract to drill in

Why Providence Street Historic District scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Providence Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Providence Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 732600Worcester: 6.46.4Worcesterparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 101Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 6.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2015)
  • 101Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Providence Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 101 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 6.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732600?

Census tract 25027732600 in the Providence Street Historic District neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732600?

Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732600?

23.7% of residents in tract 25027732600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 97th, minority 75th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732600 considered part of Providence Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732600 fall within Providence Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732600 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732600 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732600 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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