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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Saginaw

Tract 26145000800 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 2,585 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 26145000800 sits in the Buena Vista area of Saginaw eviction risk, Michigan eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #1,663 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $964 a month against an average household income of $29,888 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 14% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,333
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$29,888

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Buena Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 20 tracts In Saginaw
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 61 tracts In Saginaw County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#274 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4239, -83.9143 · click any tract to drill in

Why Buena Vista scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Saginaw
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$964 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saginaw
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saginaw
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saginaw
9.1

How Buena Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Buena Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 000800Saginaw: 3.63.6Saginawparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Buena Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Buena Vista

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 26.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145000800?

Census tract 26145000800 in the Buena Vista neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26145000800?

Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145000800?

36.1% of residents in tract 26145000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,585.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 95th, minority 97th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 26145000800 considered part of Buena Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145000800 fall within Buena Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26145000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26145000800 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145000800 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26145000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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