Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor
Tract 26161402100 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 2,895 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 26161402100 covers part of the Old Fourth Ward area of Ann Arbor, MI, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,558
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$67,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region
Centroid at 42.2936, -83.7377 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Fourth Ward scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0
How Old Fourth Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 24Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2014)
- 24Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 18.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward
Against the Washtenaw County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 46.5% across Washtenaw County. Disability prevalence runs 18.1% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 24 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 2.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 26161402100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161402100?
Census tract 26161402100 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26161402100?
Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26161402100?
21.6% of residents in tract 26161402100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26161402100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 6th, minority 60th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 26161402100 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161402100 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 26161402100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 26161402100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 26161402100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 26161402100 compare to Ann Arbor overall?
Tract 26161402100 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor
Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
North Burns Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Uplands of Scio Ridge
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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