Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally
Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor
Tract 26161400800 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 3,665 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Old Fourth Ward area of Ann Arbor, census tract 26161400800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.
About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,612 monthly, set against $36,316 in average yearly household income, roughly 53% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 72%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,418
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate65.8%
Median income$36,316
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region
Centroid at 42.2844, -83.7392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Fourth Ward scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
65.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0
How Old Fourth Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.4%Peak (2014)
- 4Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.5%Food insecurity
- 35.8%SNAP enrollment
- 21.0%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 27.6%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washtenaw County average of 6.0 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 0.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.4% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 26161400800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161400800?
Census tract 26161400800 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26161400800?
Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26161400800?
65.8% of residents in tract 26161400800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,665.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26161400800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 0th, minority 49th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 26161400800 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161400800 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 26161400800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 26161400800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.39% of renter households, peaking at 0.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 26161400800 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 26161400800 compare to Ann Arbor overall?
Tract 26161400800 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor
Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
North Burns Park
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Colonial Square Cooperative
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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