Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Old Fourth Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Ann Arbor
Tract 26161402201 · Washtenaw County, MI · pop 4,741 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
26161402201 is a census tract in the Old Fourth Ward area of Ann Arbor, MI. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,741. 55% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 78%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,014
Renter share97.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate60.0%
Median income$23,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ann Arbor and the region
Centroid at 42.2944, -83.7249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Fourth Ward scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ann Arbor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
60.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ann Arbor
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ann Arbor
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ann Arbor
5.0
How Old Fourth Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Fourth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.6%Food insecurity
- 24.8%SNAP enrollment
- 18.2%Transit barriers
- 8.3%No health insurance
- 26.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Fourth Ward
Against Washtenaw County at 46.5%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 65% of average household income of $23,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 97% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.2 points above the Washtenaw County average of 5.0.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,285, 22% below the Ann Arbor average.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 24.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 26161402201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26161402201?
Census tract 26161402201 in the Old Fourth Ward neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26161402201?
Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26161402201?
60.0% of residents in tract 26161402201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,741.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26161402201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 0th, minority 65th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 26161402201 considered part of Old Fourth Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26161402201 fall within Old Fourth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26161402201 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 26161402201 compare to Ann Arbor overall?
Tract 26161402201 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Ann Arbor at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ann Arbor eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ann Arbor
Top eight tracts in Ann Arbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Germantown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Old Fourth Ward
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
26161402601
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Colonial Square Cooperative
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MI
Kerrytown
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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