Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Willard-Hay Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053102800 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,807 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 27053102800 sits in the Willard-Hay area of Minneapolis eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 2,807. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,010
Renter share50.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$64,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9961, -93.3032 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard-Hay scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,264 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Willard-Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 19%Grade B
- 52%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 415Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.1%Peak (2013)
- 92Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 183Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willard-Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.9%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 13.3%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard-Hay
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 58% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County.
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 415 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 23.4% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 14.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 17.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053102800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053102800?
Census tract 27053102800 in the Willard-Hay neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053102800?
Median gross rent is $1,264/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053102800?
25.8% of residents in tract 27053102800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,807.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053102800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 97th, minority 78th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 27053102800 considered part of Willard-Hay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053102800 fall within Willard-Hay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053102800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 415 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053102800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.60% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053102800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053102800 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053102800 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053102800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053102800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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