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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Conway Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,781 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.8–5.4

Conway is a white-asian neighborhood in St. Paul with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,781 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,360/month sits 6% higher than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Conway vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.6% +79%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,360 +6%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$68,640 -10%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
12.2% -23%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
36.3% -23%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Conway and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–5.4

Why Conway scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
12.2% below poverty line · Range 2.2–3.7 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.7 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Conway vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Conway score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Conway: 5.15.1ConwayNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Conway

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123034702 5.4 4,687 60% $1,262
27123031802 4.8 4,094 46% $1,472
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 75%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Conway

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 397Total filings (sum)
  • 5.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 6.23%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 401Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly observed
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.48×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Conway

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Conway

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Conway?

Conway scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Conway compare to St. Paul overall?

Conway scores 1.5 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,360 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Conway?

Average gross rent in Conway is $1,360/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Conway residents are renters?

36% of Conway households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 8,781 residents.
Q5

Is Conway a high social-vulnerability area?

Conway sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Conway have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Conway is census tract 27123034702 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.4, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Conway for landlords?

Conway carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Conway?

Conway has 8,147 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Conway

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Conway.

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