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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

West Side Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 10,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10 · range 6.9–7.3

West Side takes in 2 census tracts of St. Paul, MN, population 10,675. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.1/10, in the Elevated tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 63% against 30.0% citywide, putting West Side 32.8% over its own city. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 649 across 2 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 8.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.7% in 2015, is well off that peak.

At $1,364 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. That places it #9 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul. For a like-for-like read, North End and Eastview score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 7.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
West Side vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.8% +109%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,364 +6%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$77,716 +2%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
16.0% +2%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
39.2% -17%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.9–7.3

Why West Side scores 7.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.0% below poverty line · Range 3.8–4.2 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.6 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

West Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

West Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.1West SideNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in West Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123037100 7.3 4,962 53% $1,261
27123037200 6.9 5,713 72% $1,453
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Side

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 649Total filings (sum)
  • 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2012)
  • 3.74%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 572Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.6Avg monthly observed
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in West Side

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About West Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for West Side?

West Side scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does West Side compare to St. Paul overall?

West Side scores 0.6 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,364 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in West Side?

Average gross rent in West Side is $1,364/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of West Side residents are renters?

39% of West Side households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 10,675 residents.
Q5

Is West Side a high social-vulnerability area?

West Side sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in West Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Side is census tract 27123037100 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 7.3, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is West Side for landlords?

West Side carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of West Side?

West Side has 11,510 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43%), Hispanic / Latino (25.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Side.

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