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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

West Side Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,675 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.1–5.4

West Side is a white-hispanic neighborhood in St. Paul with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,675 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 63% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 40% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,364/month sits 6% higher than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
West Side vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.8% +109%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,364 +6%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$77,716 +2%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
16.0% +2%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
39.2% -17%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across West Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.1–5.4

Why West Side scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
16.0% below poverty line · Range 3.8–4.2 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.6 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

West Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

West Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.West Side: 5.25.2West SideNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in West Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123037100 5.4 4,962 53% $1,261
27123037200 5.1 5,713 72% $1,453
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in West Side

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 649Total filings (sum)
  • 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak year (2012)
  • 3.74%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 572Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.6Avg monthly observed
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in West Side

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About West Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for West Side?

West Side scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does West Side compare to St. Paul overall?

West Side scores 1.4 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,364 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in West Side?

Average gross rent in West Side is $1,364/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of West Side residents are renters?

39% of West Side households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 10,675 residents.
Q5

Is West Side a high social-vulnerability area?

West Side sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in West Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in West Side is census tract 27123037100 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.1 to 5.4, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is West Side for landlords?

West Side carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of West Side?

West Side has 11,510 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43%), Hispanic / Latino (25.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near West Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to West Side.

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