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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Snelling - Hamline Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 11,063 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.1–7.9

Snelling - Hamline takes in 3 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 11,063 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 52% against 30.0% citywide, putting Snelling - Hamline 21.8% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.1 to 7.9, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

Court records carry 222 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 2.5% of renter households.

That places it #14 of 23 neighborhoods in St. Paul. Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Greater East Side and Conway score within a fraction of it. Against average income of $75,614, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Average gross rent runs $1,217, close to the St. Paul average. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Snelling - Hamline vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.8% +73%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,217 -5%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$75,614 -1%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
14.8% -6%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
49.4% +5%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Snelling - Hamline and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.1–7.9

Why Snelling - Hamline scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
14.8% below poverty line · Range 1.6–7.5 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.6 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Snelling - Hamline vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Snelling - Hamline score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.7Snelling - HamlineNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Snelling - Hamline?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 6.1 to 7.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Snelling - Hamline

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123033400 7.9 3,288 51% $1,185
27123036500 6.2 4,205 55% $1,194
27123035200 6.1 3,570 49% $1,274
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Snelling - Hamline

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 222Total filings (sum)
  • 1.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.22%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 371Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.66×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Snelling - Hamline

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Snelling - Hamline

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Snelling - Hamline?

Snelling - Hamline scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Snelling - Hamline compare to St. Paul overall?

Snelling - Hamline scores 0.2 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,217 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Snelling - Hamline?

Average gross rent in Snelling - Hamline is $1,217/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Snelling - Hamline residents are renters?

49% of Snelling - Hamline households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 11,063 residents.
Q5

Is Snelling - Hamline a high social-vulnerability area?

Snelling - Hamline sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Snelling - Hamline have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Snelling - Hamline is census tract 27123033400 (score 7.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 7.9, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Snelling - Hamline for landlords?

Snelling - Hamline carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Snelling - Hamline?

Snelling - Hamline has 11,252 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.7%), Hispanic / Latino (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Snelling - Hamline

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Snelling - Hamline.

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