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Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Highwood Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 7,919 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 4.8–6.6

Highwood Hills is a black-white neighborhood in St. Paul with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,919 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 44% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,228/month sits 4% lower than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Highwood Hills vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.4% +48%
St. Paul: 30.0%
Average gross rent
$1,228 -4%
St. Paul: $1,281
Average HH income
$66,615 -13%
St. Paul: $76,411
Poverty rate
30.3% +92%
St. Paul: 15.8%
Renter share
52.4% +11%
St. Paul: 47.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Highwood Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.8–6.6

Why Highwood Hills scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
30.3% below poverty line · Range 3.0–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–5.0 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Highwood Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Highwood Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Highwood Hills: 6.66.6Highwood HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Highwood Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27123037403 6.6 7,919 44% $1,228
27123980000 4.8
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 99%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Highwood Hills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 367Total filings (sum)
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak year (2014)
  • 4.92%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 262Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.4Avg monthly observed
  • 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Highwood Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Highwood Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Highwood Hills?

Highwood Hills scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Highwood Hills compare to St. Paul overall?

Highwood Hills scores 0.0 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,228 vs $1,281.
Q3

What is the average rent in Highwood Hills?

Average gross rent in Highwood Hills is $1,228/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Highwood Hills residents are renters?

52% of Highwood Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 7,919 residents.
Q5

Is Highwood Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Highwood Hills sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Highwood Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Highwood Hills is census tract 27123037403 (score 6.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 6.6, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Highwood Hills for landlords?

Highwood Hills carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Highwood Hills?

Highwood Hills has 7,735 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Highwood Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Highwood Hills.

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