5 census tracts · pop 22,384 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.1/10
· range 4.2–7.9
North End spans 5 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 22,384 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.1/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 30.0% citywide, putting North End 19.0% over its own city.
Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 4.2 to 7.9. A 3.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Filings are well documented here: 1,846 across 5 observed tracts. Food insecurity affects 27.4% of adults, 9.6 points above the national rate. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 15.3% of renter households.
At $1,160 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of St. Paul, it ranks #9 by risk, the middle third.
Judgments average 3.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.7 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
North End vs St. PaulHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in North End
Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,846Total filings (sum)
6.88%Avg annual filing rate
15.3%Peak year (2015)
5.19%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,270Total filings 2020-21
4.1Avg monthly observed
3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in North End
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.4%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility shutoff threat
29.5%Food insecurity
21.9%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
33.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About North End
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for North End?
North End scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does North End compare to St. Paul overall?
North End scores 0.6 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,160 vs $1,281.
Q3
What is the average rent in North End?
Average gross rent in North End is $1,160/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of North End residents are renters?
51% of North End households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 22,384 residents.
Q5
Is North End a high social-vulnerability area?
North End sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in North End have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in North End is census tract 27123030500 (score 7.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 7.9, a spread of 3.7 points.
Q7
How safe is North End for landlords?
North End carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of North End?
North End has 21,586 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (29.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
