Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Gravois Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510116400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 5,259 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 29510116400 runs through Gravois Park in St. Louis. With 5,259 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $912 a month while the average household earns $46,564 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,099
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$46,564
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5910, -90.2398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gravois Park scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$912 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Gravois Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,035Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2006)
- 152Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 618Total filings 2020-21
- 8.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gravois Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.1%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.9%Food insecurity
- 36.3%SNAP enrollment
- 20.7%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 44.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gravois Park
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 32.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510116400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510116400?
Census tract 29510116400 in the Gravois Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510116400?
Median gross rent is $912/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510116400?
22.1% of residents in tract 29510116400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,259.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510116400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 99th, minority 84th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 29510116400 considered part of Gravois Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510116400 fall within Gravois Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510116400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,035 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510116400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.52% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510116400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510116400 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510116400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510116400 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510116400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.1
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
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