Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Gravois Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510124100 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,270 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 29510124100 covers part of the Gravois Park area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,270 residents. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 31.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,589
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate30.4%
Median income$48,283
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.5883, -90.2316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gravois Park scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
30.4% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$747 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Gravois Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 40%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,096Total filings over 13 yrs
- 14.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.6%Peak (2006)
- 120Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 683Total filings 2020-21
- 8.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gravois Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.2%Housing insecurity
- 31.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.9%Food insecurity
- 44.5%SNAP enrollment
- 24.6%Transit barriers
- 16.7%No health insurance
- 24.2%Frequent mental distress
- 47.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gravois Park
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.4% against 31.5% nationally.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10. At $747 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10. Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,096 filings here across 13 tracked years.
Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. The worst year on record was 2006, when 18.6% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510124100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510124100?
Census tract 29510124100 in the Gravois Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510124100?
Median gross rent is $747/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510124100?
30.4% of residents in tract 29510124100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,270.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510124100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 88th, minority 78th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 29510124100 considered part of Gravois Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510124100 fall within Gravois Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510124100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,096 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510124100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.30% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510124100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510124100 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510124100 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510124100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510124100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Penrose
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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