Neighborhood · Bel-Nor, MO

Arbor Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.6–5.2

Arbor Terrace is a 3-tract neighborhood of Bel-Nor, MO and houses 11,993 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 43%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 57% against 42.3% citywide, putting Arbor Terrace 14.9% over its own city. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Food insecurity affects 30.7% of adults, 12.9 points above the national rate.

Disability prevalence reaches 44.9% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. The filing record is not thin: 853 evictions logged in this tract. The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 13.2% of renter households.

Judgments average 8.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.6 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,040, close to the Bel-Nor average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Arbor Terrace vs Bel-Nor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.2% +35%

Bel-Nor: 42.3%

Average gross rent

$1,040 +3%

Bel-Nor: $1,011

Average HH income

$43,425 -59%

Bel-Nor: $106,875

Poverty rate

25.8% +227%

Bel-Nor: 7.9%

Renter share

34.9% +284%

Bel-Nor: 9.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbor Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.6–5.2

Why Arbor Terrace scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

57% of income on rent · Range 1.5–9.6 across tracts

4.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8–2.2 across tracts

2.1

Tenant organizing strength

35% renter households · Range 1.7–5.1 across tracts

3.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 1.9–9.1 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

25.8% below poverty line · Range 6.2–6.8 across tracts

6.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–4.2 across tracts

3.5

Risk score comparison

Arbor Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arbor Terrace?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 4.6 to 5.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 4.6 4.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Arbor Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
29189212201	5.2	3,798	61%	$1,121
29189213800	4.6	4,459	56%	$1,109
29189213702	4.6	3,736	54%	$874

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 59%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 44%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arbor Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

853Total filings (sum)
13.56%Avg annual filing rate
13.2%Peak year (2017)
13.22%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,207Total filings 2020-21
5.4Avg monthly observed
5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arbor Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

26.0%Housing insecurity
21.3%Utility shutoff threat
31.0%Food insecurity
30.1%SNAP enrollment
10.7%No health insurance
45.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Arbor Terrace

What is the eviction-risk score for Arbor Terrace?

Arbor Terrace scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Arbor Terrace compare to Bel-Nor overall?

Arbor Terrace scores 1.6 points higher than Bel-Nor overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $1,011.

What is the average rent in Arbor Terrace?

Average gross rent in Arbor Terrace is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Arbor Terrace residents are renters?

35% of Arbor Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Bel-Nor). The neighborhood has 11,993 residents.

Is Arbor Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Arbor Terrace sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Arbor Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arbor Terrace is census tract 29189212201 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.2, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Arbor Terrace for landlords?

Arbor Terrace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel-Nor as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Arbor Terrace?

Arbor Terrace has 11,957 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (81%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.7%), Hispanic / Latino (2.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arbor Terrace

6.2 Berdell Hills 5 tracts · pop 14,501 3.9 Varsity neighborhood 9 tracts · pop 25,163 6 North Pointe 2 tracts · pop 6,312 3.4 Wydown Skinker 2 tracts · pop 9,770 5 Riverview 2 tracts · pop 10,168 4.7 Ellendale 3 tracts · pop 8,166

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