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Neighborhood · Bel-Nor, MO

Arbor Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,993 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.1-4.4

Arbor Terrace is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bel-Nor with 3 census tracts and a population of 11,993 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 43% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,040/month sits 3% higher than the Bel-Nor citywide average ($1,011).

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Arbor Terrace vs Bel-Nor How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
57.2% +35%
Bel-Nor: 42.3%
Average gross rent
$1,040 +3%
Bel-Nor: $1,011
Average HH income
$43,425 -59%
Bel-Nor: $106,875
Poverty rate
25.8% +227%
Bel-Nor: 7.9%
Renter share
34.9% +284%
Bel-Nor: 9.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbor Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.1-4.4

Why Arbor Terrace scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1-2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2-6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5-8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 1.5-9.6 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.8-2.2 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 1.7-5.1 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.9-9.1 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
25.8% below poverty line · Range 6.2-6.8 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2-4.2 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Arbor Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Arbor Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arbor Terrace: 4.34.3Arbor TerraceNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arbor Terrace?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.3 points from 4.1 to 4.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Arbor Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29189212201 4.4 3,798 61% $1,121
29189213702 4.4 3,736 54% $874
29189213800 4.1 4,459 56% $1,109
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 59%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arbor Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 853Total filings (sum)
  • 13.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.2%Peak year (2017)
  • 13.22%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 1,207Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.4Avg monthly observed
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arbor Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arbor Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arbor Terrace?

Arbor Terrace scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Arbor Terrace compare to Bel-Nor overall?

Arbor Terrace scores 0.1 points lower than Bel-Nor overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $1,011.

Q3

What is the average rent in Arbor Terrace?

Average gross rent in Arbor Terrace is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Arbor Terrace residents are renters?

35% of Arbor Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Bel-Nor). The neighborhood has 11,993 residents.

Q5

Is Arbor Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Arbor Terrace sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Arbor Terrace have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arbor Terrace is census tract 29189212201 (score 4.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 4.4, a spread of 0.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Arbor Terrace for landlords?

Arbor Terrace carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bel-Nor as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arbor Terrace?

Arbor Terrace has 11,957 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (81%), White (non-Hispanic) (13.7%), Hispanic / Latino (2.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arbor Terrace

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