Piscataquog Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Set annual rent against average household income of $42,271 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $1,255 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Manchester commands.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 15.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10.

SNAP participation is 25.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10.

Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Manchester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Gaslight District and Amoskeag Millyard.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.