Brown Square Eviction Risk: High

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 28.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2/10.

18.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.8/10. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $994, 8% below the Rochester average of $1,081. Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $38,635.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.