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Neighborhood · Rochester, NY

Lincoln Park Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,591 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10 · range 8.8–8.8

Lincoln Park is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Rochester with 1 census tract and a population of 2,591 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 8.8/10 (High tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 69% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 55% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,040/month sits 4% lower than the Rochester citywide average ($1,081).

Risk score
8.8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Park vs Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.4% +117%
Rochester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,040 -4%
Rochester: $1,081
Average HH income
$28,766 -38%
Rochester: $46,628
Poverty rate
29.6% +11%
Rochester: 26.6%
Renter share
74.8% +21%
Rochester: 61.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.8–8.8

Why Lincoln Park scores 8.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
69% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
29.6% below poverty line · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Lincoln Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lincoln Park: 8.88.8Lincoln ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 9.19.1Parent cityhost cityState: 9.19.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lincoln Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055007500 8.8 2,591 69% $1,040
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln Park compare to Rochester overall?

Lincoln Park scores 0.3 points lower than Rochester overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $1,081.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln Park?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Park is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln Park residents are renters?

75% of Lincoln Park households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 2,591 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Park sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lincoln Park for landlords?

Lincoln Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Park?

Lincoln Park has 2,699 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (80.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Park.

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