1 census tracts · pop 2,591 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.5/10
· range 9.5–9.5
Lincoln Park maps to a single census tract in Rochester, NY and houses 2,591 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.5/10, in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 55%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
69% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Rochester rate of 32.0%. SNAP participation is 51.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
27.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average household income of $28,766 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 30%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2.3/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.4/10.
Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mayor's Heights and Historic Grove Street Neighborhood. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Average gross rent runs $1,040, close to the Rochester average.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.5
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln Park vs RochesterHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lincoln Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
36.1%Housing insecurity
27.1%Utility shutoff threat
45.7%Food insecurity
51.6%SNAP enrollment
13.1%No health insurance
43.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lincoln Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Park?
Lincoln Park scores 9.5/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lincoln Park compare to Rochester overall?
Lincoln Park scores 1.4 points higher than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,040 vs $1,081.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lincoln Park?
Average gross rent in Lincoln Park is $1,040/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lincoln Park residents are renters?
75% of Lincoln Park households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 2,591 residents.
Q5
Is Lincoln Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Lincoln Park sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Lincoln Park for landlords?
Lincoln Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Park?
Lincoln Park has 2,699 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (80.4%), Hispanic / Latino (8.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
