La Avenida Eviction Risk: High

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 39.8% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 37%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.7/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 46.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Average gross rent is $902, 17% below the Rochester average of $1,081. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Among the 36 mapped neighborhoods of Rochester, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Mayor's Heights and Beechwood.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.