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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001304 · Durham County, NC · pop 2,426 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37063001304 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory area of Durham, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,426 residents. Average gross rent is $874, 42% below the Durham average.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 30% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$41,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
Low
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 70 tracts In Durham
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Elevated
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9666, -78.9098 · click any tract to drill in

Why Annie Day Shepard Dormitory scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$874 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5

How Annie Day Shepard Dormitory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 001304Durham: 4.04.0Durhamparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,292Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 38.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 54.3%Peak (2011)
  • 144Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370630013042005: 427 filings (60.65/100 renter HHs)2006: 287 filings (40.77/100 renter HHs)2009: 396 filings (56.25/100 renter HHs)2010: 448 filings (59.73/100 renter HHs)2011: 460 filings (54.31/100 renter HHs)2012: 271 filings (32.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 278 filings (32.82/100 renter HHs)2014: 235 filings (27.74/100 renter HHs)2015: 149 filings (17.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 197 filings (21.11/100 renter HHs)2017: 144 filings (15.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Annie Day Shepard Dormitory

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 27.8% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 52% here against 43.8% across Durham County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 3,292 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 54.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 38.0% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001304?

Census tract 37063001304 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37063001304?

Median gross rent is $874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001304?

24.1% of residents in tract 37063001304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 37063001304 considered part of Annie Day Shepard Dormitory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001304 fall within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001304?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,292 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.04% of renter households, peaking at 54.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37063001304 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37063001304 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001304 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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