Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063001304 ·
Durham County, NC · pop 2,426 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 37063001304 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory area of Durham, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,426 residents. Average gross rent is $874, 42% below the Durham average.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%Stable renters 30%Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,076
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$41,204
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
Low
Within parent city
75th percentile
#18 of 70 tracts In Durham
High
Within county
75th percentile
#18 of 68 tracts In Durham County
Elevated
Within state
92th percentile
#217 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 35.9666, -78.9098 · click any tract to drill in
Why Annie Day Shepard Dormitory scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$874 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Annie Day Shepard Dormitory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
97%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
3,292Total filings over 11 yrs
38.04%Avg annual filing rate
54.3%Peak (2011)
144Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year2005 to 2017
Filings dropped 66% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
27.8%Housing insecurity
20.7%Utility-shutoff threat
37.7%Food insecurity
37.8%SNAP enrollment
19.4%Transit barriers
18.3%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
43.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 27.8% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 52% here against 43.8% across Durham County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.3 points above the Durham County average of 4.1.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 3,292 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 54.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 38.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001304?
Census tract 37063001304 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001304?
Median gross rent is $874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001304?
24.1% of residents in tract 37063001304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,426.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 96th, minority 88th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001304 considered part of Annie Day Shepard Dormitory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001304 fall within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,292 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.04% of renter households, peaking at 54.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001304 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001304 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001304 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.