Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $1,012 a month, rents sit 33% under what the rest of Durham commands. SNAP participation is 33.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

37% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Durham rate of 29.4%. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Court records carry 7,752 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 54.3% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 18.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 4 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $54,752.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.