Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Annie Day Shepard Dormitory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham

Tract 37063001303 · Durham County, NC · pop 4,495 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 37063001303 sits in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory area of Durham eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 34% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units678

Renter share56.0%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate25.8%

Median income$65,238

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Durham and the region

Centroid at 35.9728, -78.9013 · click any tract to drill in

Why Annie Day Shepard Dormitory scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Durham

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

25.8% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$1,236 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Durham

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Durham

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Durham

4.5

How Annie Day Shepard Dormitory compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

75%Socioeconomic
8%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
19%Grade C
19%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,057Total filings over 11 yrs
23.17%Avg annual filing rate
24.3%Peak (2014)
71Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2005 to 2017

Filings dropped 29% over the past 11 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.2%Housing insecurity
14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
28.4%Food insecurity
23.2%SNAP enrollment
18.4%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
23.3%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Annie Day Shepard Dormitory

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Durham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Food insecurity runs 28.4% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,236 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Durham commands. Court records carry 1,057 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 43.8% across Durham County. Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2014, when 24.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 23.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37063001303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001303?

Census tract 37063001303 in the Annie Day Shepard Dormitory neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 37063001303?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001303?

25.8% of residents in tract 37063001303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,495.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 8th, minority 84th, housing 90th.

Is tract 37063001303 considered part of Annie Day Shepard Dormitory?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001303 fall within Annie Day Shepard Dormitory (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001303?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,057 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.17% of renter households, peaking at 24.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 37063001303 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37063001303 compare to Durham overall?

Tract 37063001303 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 37063001303 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Durham

Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org