2 census tracts · pop 10,080 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10
· range 3.3–4.6
Hope Valley North is a 2-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC, population 10,080. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 4.6. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filings are well documented here: 5,718 across 2 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 29.1% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10.
The most recent observed rate, 11.1% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 58 mapped neighborhoods of Durham, it ranks #26 by risk, the middle third.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Forest Hills and Downtown Durham. Average gross rent runs $1,490, close to the Durham average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $78,388.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hope Valley North vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Hope Valley North
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
5,718Total filings (sum)
18.83%Avg annual filing rate
29.1%Peak year (2011)
11.14%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hope Valley North
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.4%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Hope Valley North
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Hope Valley North?
Hope Valley North scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Hope Valley North compare to Durham overall?
Hope Valley North scores 0.0 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,490 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Hope Valley North?
Average gross rent in Hope Valley North is $1,490/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Hope Valley North residents are renters?
50% of Hope Valley North households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 10,080 residents.
Q5
Is Hope Valley North a high social-vulnerability area?
Hope Valley North sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Hope Valley North have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Hope Valley North is census tract 37063002015 (score 4.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 4.6, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Hope Valley North for landlords?
Hope Valley North carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Hope Valley North?
Hope Valley North has 10,286 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25%), Hispanic / Latino (17.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
