2 census tracts · pop 9,513 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10
· range 4.8–5.3
Horton Hills spans 2 census tracts of Durham, NC, population 9,513. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, Moderate tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Durham rate of 29.4%.
The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.
Average gross rent is $1,231, 18% below the Durham average of $1,508. Court records carry 8,226 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.
The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 47.6% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 27.9% in 2017, is well off that peak.
That places it #16 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. The closest comparables inside the same city are Beech Lake and Duke Homestead. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $63,654. 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Horton Hills vs DurhamHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Horton Hills
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
8,226Total filings (sum)
31.04%Avg annual filing rate
47.6%Peak year (2012)
27.99%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Horton Hills
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.4%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
21.1%SNAP enrollment
14.5%No health insurance
33.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Horton Hills
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Horton Hills?
Horton Hills scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Horton Hills compare to Durham overall?
Horton Hills scores 1.0 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,231 vs $1,508.
Q3
What is the average rent in Horton Hills?
Average gross rent in Horton Hills is $1,231/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Horton Hills residents are renters?
61% of Horton Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 9,513 residents.
Q5
Is Horton Hills a high social-vulnerability area?
Horton Hills sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Horton Hills have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Horton Hills is census tract 37063001711 (score 5.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.8 to 5.3, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Horton Hills for landlords?
Horton Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Horton Hills?
Horton Hills has 9,706 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.3%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
