Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Beech Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,792 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4–4.9

Beech Lake is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Durham with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,792 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,352/month sits 10% lower than the Durham citywide average ($1,508).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Beech Lake vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.7% +45%

Durham: 29.4%

Average gross rent

$1,352 -10%

Durham: $1,508

Average HH income

$69,357 -12%

Durham: $79,234

Poverty rate

20.5% +68%

Durham: 12.2%

Renter share

89.8% +88%

Durham: 47.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Beech Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–4.9

Why Beech Lake scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

90% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

20.5% below poverty line · Range 4.8–5.5 across tracts

5.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.3 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Beech Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Beech Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
37063002032	4.9	2,500	52%	$1,344
37063002031	4	2,292	32%	$1,361

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 14%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 47%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Beech Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.3%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
14.7%SNAP enrollment
13.0%No health insurance
28.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Beech Lake

What is the eviction-risk score for Beech Lake?

Beech Lake scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Beech Lake compare to Durham overall?

Beech Lake scores 1.1 points higher than Durham overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,352 vs $1,508.

What is the average rent in Beech Lake?

Average gross rent in Beech Lake is $1,352/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Beech Lake residents are renters?

90% of Beech Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,792 residents.

Is Beech Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Beech Lake sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Beech Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Beech Lake is census tract 37063002032 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.9, a spread of 0.9 points.

How safe is Beech Lake for landlords?

Beech Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Beech Lake?

Beech Lake has 5,107 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Beech Lake

3.6 Hope Valley North 2 tracts · pop 10,080 5.2 Annie Day Shepard Dormitory 4 tracts · pop 11,781 3.9 Crest Street 2 tracts · pop 6,841 5.1 Keene 2 tracts · pop 13,770 5.2 Hillcrest 2 tracts · pop 8,879 4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Beech Lake.

4.5 Duke Homestead 1 tracts · pop 5,745 4.5 Braggtown 1 tracts · pop 3,710 4.4 Horton Hills 2 tracts · pop 9,513 4.7 Swann's Mill 1 tracts · pop 8,069 4.7 Hayti 1 tracts · pop 2,228 4.7 L L Wilkins 1 tracts · pop 6,965

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