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Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Beech Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,792 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.6–5.4

Beech Lake is a 2-tract neighborhood of Durham, NC and houses 4,792 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Durham baseline of 29.4%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

This is a renter market: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,352, 10% below the Durham average of $1,508.

That places it #16 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. The closest comparables inside the same city are Horton Hills and Duke Homestead. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $69,357.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Beech Lake vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.7% +45%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,352 -10%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$69,357 -12%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
20.5% +68%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
89.8% +88%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Beech Lake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.6–5.4

Why Beech Lake scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
90% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
20.5% below poverty line · Range 4.8–5.5 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.3 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Beech Lake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Beech Lake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Beech Lake: 5.05.0Beech LakeNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Beech Lake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063002032 5.4 2,500 52% $1,344
37063002031 4.6 2,292 32% $1,361
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 14%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Beech Lake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Beech Lake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Beech Lake?

Beech Lake scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Beech Lake compare to Durham overall?

Beech Lake scores 1.0 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,352 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Beech Lake?

Average gross rent in Beech Lake is $1,352/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Beech Lake residents are renters?

90% of Beech Lake households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 4,792 residents.
Q5

Is Beech Lake a high social-vulnerability area?

Beech Lake sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Beech Lake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Beech Lake is census tract 37063002032 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.4, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Beech Lake for landlords?

Beech Lake carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Beech Lake?

Beech Lake has 5,107 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Beech Lake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Beech Lake.

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