Skip to content
Neighborhood · Durham, NC

Downtown Durham Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,513 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

Downtown Durham maps to a single census tract in Durham, NC, population 2,513. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

29% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $1,761 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Durham commands.

The filing record is not thin: 704 evictions logged in this tract. SNAP participation is 5.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.8% of adults, 10.0 points below the national rate. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 20.5% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 5.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #23 of 58 neighborhoods in Durham. For a like-for-like read, Eno Trace and Trinity Park score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $91,563.

One tract means one number: 4.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Durham vs Durham How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.9% -2%
Durham: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$1,761 +17%
Durham: $1,508
Average HH income
$91,563 +16%
Durham: $79,234
Poverty rate
14.9% +22%
Durham: 12.2%
Renter share
75.4% +58%
Durham: 47.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Durham and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why Downtown Durham scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
75% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
14.9% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Downtown Durham vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Durham score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Durham: 4.14.1Downtown DurhamNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 3.93.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown Durham

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37063002200 4.1 2,513 29% $1,761
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Durham

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 704Total filings (sum)
  • 10.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.5%Peak year (2005)
  • 5.77%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Durham

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Durham

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Durham?

Downtown Durham scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Durham compare to Durham overall?

Downtown Durham scores 0.1 points higher than Durham overall (4/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,761 vs $1,508.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Durham?

Average gross rent in Downtown Durham eviction risk is $1,761/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Durham residents are renters?

75% of Downtown Durham households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Durham). The neighborhood has 2,513 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Durham a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Durham sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown Durham for landlords?

Downtown Durham eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Durham as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Durham?

Downtown Durham has 2,778 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (16.4%), Other / Multiracial (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Durham

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Durham

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Durham.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further