Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Duke Homestead Eviction Risk: Moderate , Durham
Tract 37063001705 · Durham County, NC · pop 5,745 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Duke Homestead in Durham anchors census tract 37063001705, which lands at 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #14,999 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,532 monthly, set against $64,263 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,356
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.4%
Median income$64,263
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Durham and the region
Centroid at 36.0368, -78.9249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duke Homestead scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Durham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.4% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,532 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Durham
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Durham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Durham
4.5
How Duke Homestead compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,184Total filings over 11 yrs
- 11.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2013)
- 89Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duke Homestead
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Durham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Durham County average of 5.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,184 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 11.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.6% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37063001705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37063001705?
Census tract 37063001705 in the Duke Homestead neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37063001705?
Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37063001705?
18.4% of residents in tract 37063001705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37063001705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 87th, minority 67th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 37063001705 considered part of Duke Homestead?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37063001705 fall within Duke Homestead (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37063001705?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,184 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37063001705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.06% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37063001705 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37063001705 compare to Durham overall?
Tract 37063001705 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Durham at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Durham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Durham
Top eight tracts in Durham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
The Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Crest Street
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Holloway Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Burch Avenue
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Annie Day Shepard Dormitory
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Hillcrest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Keene
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Old West Durham
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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